The 2026 TCJA Sunset: What's Set to Change
Most individual provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act are scheduled to expire on December 31, 2025. Whether Congress extends them is the biggest open question in tax planning.
Why provisions are sunsetting
The TCJA used budget reconciliation rules that required individual provisions to expire within a 10-year window. Corporate provisions (like the 21% C-corp rate) are permanent; individual ones are not.
Tax brackets revert
Brackets revert to the higher pre-2018 rates and (less generous) bracket widths:
- Current top rate: 37% → reverts to 39.6%
- Most other brackets rise by 2–4 percentage points
- Bracket widths shrink, pushing more income into higher rates
Standard deduction is roughly cut in half
Current $14,600 / $29,200 deductions revert to roughly $8,300 / $16,600 (2026 inflation-adjusted), while the personal and dependent exemptions return (~$5,300 each). Net effect varies by family size.
SALT cap could disappear
The $10,000 SALT cap is scheduled to lapse — full state and local tax deduction returns. Big win for high-income, high-tax-state residents.
Estate exemption drops by roughly half
$13.61M (2024) → roughly $7M (2026 inflation-adjusted). Estates between $7M and $13.6M would suddenly be exposed to 40% federal estate tax. Lifetime gifts made before sunset are not clawed back (per finalized IRS regulations).
QBI deduction expires
The 20% Qualified Business Income deduction for pass-through owners ends after 2025. Effective tax rate on small-business income would jump meaningfully — back to ordinary rates with no preferential treatment.
Mortgage interest cap rises again
The $750K acquisition-debt limit reverts to $1,000,000. Home equity loan interest deduction (for non-improvement debt) returns.
What to plan for
- Consider Roth conversions in 2024–2025 at locked-in lower rates
- High-net-worth estates: use the higher gift exemption before it drops
- Business owners: max QBI-eligible income before expiration
- Don't make irreversible decisions assuming Congress will / won't extend — model both scenarios
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